Why NVDA GEX is Surging: AI Demand Meets Options Positioning
NVDA GEX has hit a 30-day high as dealers hedge aggressive call buying ahead of earnings. Here's what the positioning tells us about the next move.
Why NVDA GEX is Surging
NVIDIA (NVDA) has once again become the focal point of the options market. As we approach the next earnings cycle, we are seeing an unprecedented surge in Gamma Exposure (GEX), which is currently sitting at a 30-day high (Z-Score +2.4).
The Setup
Over the last 48 hours, institutional flow has shifted heavily toward the $140 and $150 strike calls. This aggressive buying has forced market makers (dealers) into a "Long Gamma" position.
When dealers are long gamma, they essentially act as a stabilizing force in the market:
- As price rises, they sell to hedge.
- As price falls, they buy to hedge.
This is exactly why we've seen NVDA "pinning" near the $135 level despite broad market volatility.
What the Data Says
Our scanner flagged NVDA yesterday when the Deviation (Z) crossed the +2.0 threshold. Historically, when NVDA enters this "High Stability" zone, realized volatility tends to drop by 15-20% in the following 3 sessions.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Gamma Flip Zone: $128.00. Below this level, dealers go short gamma, and volatility will likely explode.
- Major Resistance: $150.00. This is the "Call Wall" where massive open interest resides.
Conclusion
While the headlines are focused on AI chip demand, the positioning tells the real story. As long as GEX remains in this elevated positive territory, expect NVDA to remain resilient, though potentially capped at the major call strikes.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Enjoyed this article?
Check out the GEX Scanner